Bonds
ZB fell a bit lower last week, but I would feel better about it if bonds started to spend time under 130^10. Primary thesis is that bonds need a retest of minor new low to that of October of last year to complete the fractal down from the high from 2020.
Crude Oil
Finally got a drop away from 82.90 last week which I am treating as part of [B] of iv. Before calling [B] of iv complete, I’d like to see the gap filled if not a little lower.
Dollar Index
DX appears to be working on a higher low. Above 102.70 would confirm a reversal up in at least a wave [II] bounce if not more. Best if bulls work to defend 101.80.
Euro
Basically same as DX above but inverted. Working on a lower high on a lower time frame to the double top from week before last. Bears make progress if they can force Euro to spend time under 1.0993.
Gold
The reversal lower in gold is looking pretty good at this point. The next step for bears is to push gold under 1970.20.
S&P 500
The weekly doji candle in SPX is promising but not a decisive reversal signal. I prefer a lower high form against the early February high but it wouldn’t be a severe setback to my overall bearish thesis if SPX went on to fill the gap back from last August. Under 4083 would be confirmation that a reversal is underway.
Bitcoin Futures
BTC stalling at 30970 is improving the odds that the rise from late last year was part of a fourth wave. BTC back under 26130 is needed for confirmation of a reversal lower.